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Any person running against the Daley machine starts out 200K votes in the hole. Thats how many city, county workers and their families vote in Chicago elections. Add in union workers who are dependent on city contracts and it gets deeper.
Hoffman took on a weak candidate with a lot of baggage and still lost.
The Daley's would rather have a Republican in that job than someone who embarrassed Daley.
It wasn't the snow. It was the mismanagement of essential services. The CTA was bypassing stations on the south and west side. While they were trying to keep things on schedule, the attempt was so clumsy, people were stranded on L platforms as trains just passed them by.
Daley has had too many setbacks recently, both professional and personal. Either he doesn't run, or he loses. But not to a Republican.
"A great many people think they are thinking when they are merely rearranging their prejudices." William James